Weekly-Long Diagonals โ Call & Put (the calendar family)
Buy a weekly long option (call & put), then sell shorter shorts against it and roll. Four layouts
in the tabs โ the first two are the real, Tardis-validated variants from our 3-family vs-0DTE
comparison; the last two are model-only daily-0DTE versions (M2 can't price 0DTE shorts, so don't trust
their numbers).
โ 2wk-long + weekly shorts (cal2w): the +35% line in that 3-family chart. 14-day long
+ two 1-week shorts rolled. Weekly shorts are real-tradeable โ M2 & Tardis agree. The proven one.
1wk-long + daily 0DTE shorts (v2): 7-day long further OTM, daily 0DTE short between spot and
the long. Real Tardis positive (~+24% combined), lower than cal2w.
OTM / ATM daily (model): model-only; looked great on M2 but real Tardis โ0 โ M2 over-states
daily 0DTE shorts. Kept for reference, not validated.
How to read
The metric differs per tab (shown in the green bar): the real tabs are % of notional (matches
the chart); the model tabs are % of long premium. Don't compare the two metrics directly.
M2 = model (2024+, by-year columns). Tardis = real 2026 marks. Ret/DD high = flat.
โ = best variant in that tab. Green = good, red = negative.
Metric: % of notional (real ledgers). Best book (L3-S2-atm): Total +121 ยท
2024 +91 / 2025 +10 / 2026 +20 ยท real Tardis 2026: +20 (call +11 / put +9).
Combined book โ CALL + PUT
CALL side โ by variant โ = best
variant
Weeks
Avg / week
Total
Win %
Ret/DD
2024
2025
2026
Tardis avg
Tardis n
L3-S2-atm โ
122
+0.55
+67
82%
5.9
+47
+10
+10
+0.67
16
L4-S2-atm
122
+0.47
+57
80%
4.5
+34
+12
+11
+0.68
16
L3-S2-itm1
122
+0.50
+62
82%
5.8
+43
+10
+9
+0.57
16
L4-S2
122
+0.38
+46
73%
3.2
+23
+11
+12
+0.68
16
L4-S2-itm1
122
+0.44
+54
74%
4.6
+31
+11
+11
+0.68
16
L2-S1-atm
122
+0.47
+57
75%
4.4
+31
+14
+12
+0.82
16
PUT side โ by variant
variant
Weeks
Avg / week
Total
Win %
Ret/DD
2024
2025
2026
Tardis avg
Tardis n
L3-S2-atm โ
122
+0.44
+54
80%
3.6
+44
-0
+10
+0.60
15
L4-S2-atm
122
+0.48
+59
74%
3.5
+47
-0
+13
+0.86
15
L3-S2-itm1
122
+0.43
+52
81%
3.7
+43
+1
+8
+0.59
15
L4-S2
122
+0.55
+67
71%
6.4
+47
+12
+8
+0.53
15
L4-S2-itm1
122
+0.48
+59
73%
3.7
+46
+1
+12
+0.85
15
L2-S1-atm
122
+0.44
+53
76%
3.4
+34
+5
+14
+0.68
16
Week-by-week โ best variant (L3-S2-atm)
Week (Fri)
BTC spot
Call
Put
Combined
Cum
2024
2024-01-05
$43,774
+3.40
-4.89
-1.49
-1.5
2024-01-12
$46,002
+0.05
+0.07
+0.11
-1.4
2024-01-19
$41,286
-2.30
+1.07
-1.23
-2.6
2024-01-26
$39,970
+1.07
+0.64
+1.70
-0.9
2024-02-02
$43,098
+0.07
+0.73
+0.80
-0.1
2024-02-09
$46,222
-1.01
+1.28
+0.27
+0.2
2024-02-16
$51,767
-3.09
+0.92
-2.18
-2.0
2024-02-23
$50,928
+2.32
+2.75
+5.06
+3.1
2024-03-01
$61,454
+2.59
+3.20
+5.79
+8.9
2024-03-08
$67,288
+2.79
+3.27
+6.06
+14.9
2024-03-15
$68,439
+0.82
+3.15
+3.97
+18.9
2024-03-22
$66,191
+3.87
+2.64
+6.51
+25.4
2024-03-29
$69,819
-0.15
+3.03
+2.88
+28.3
2024-04-05
$66,930
+0.31
-2.89
-2.58
+25.7
2024-04-12
$70,778
+2.45
+2.21
+4.66
+30.4
2024-04-19
$64,552
+0.92
-0.31
+0.61
+31.0
2024-04-26
$64,273
-1.05
-2.31
-3.35
+27.6
2024-05-03
$59,180
+1.65
+1.16
+2.81
+30.4
2024-05-10
$63,070
+0.89
+1.41
+2.31
+32.7
2024-05-17
$66,382
+1.14
+1.02
+2.16
+34.9
2024-05-24
$67,172
-0.29
+1.21
+0.92
+35.8
2024-05-31
$68,183
+2.40
-1.81
+0.59
+36.4
2024-06-07
$71,118
+0.66
+1.22
+1.88
+38.3
2024-06-14
$66,916
+0.51
+0.45
+0.96
+39.2
2024-06-21
$64,209
+0.54
+0.11
+0.65
+39.9
2024-06-28
$61,344
+0.43
-4.18
-3.75
+36.1
2024-07-05
$54,401
+0.41
+0.87
+1.28
+37.4
2024-07-12
$57,097
+1.61
+1.38
+2.98
+40.4
2024-07-19
$63,715
+2.49
+2.01
+4.50
+44.9
2024-07-26
$66,913
+0.84
+0.91
+1.75
+46.6
2024-08-02
$64,158
+1.18
+1.84
+3.02
+49.7
2024-08-09
$60,875
+0.48
+1.80
+2.27
+51.9
2024-08-16
$58,457
+2.49
+1.16
+3.65
+55.6
2024-08-23
$61,075
+0.58
+0.41
+0.99
+56.6
2024-08-30
$59,268
+0.73
-0.22
+0.51
+57.1
2024-09-06
$55,792
+0.63
+1.17
+1.80
+58.9
2024-09-13
$58,118
+1.36
+1.03
+2.40
+61.3
2024-09-20
$63,528
+2.05
-1.50
+0.55
+61.8
2024-09-27
$65,473
+0.82
+1.15
+1.97
+63.8
2024-10-04
$61,436
-2.50
+1.12
-1.38
+62.4
2024-10-11
$60,674
+0.60
+1.17
+1.77
+64.2
2024-10-18
$67,980
+0.97
+1.04
+2.01
+66.2
2024-10-25
$67,547
+0.59
+1.26
+1.85
+68.0
2024-11-01
$69,283
+1.70
+1.34
+3.04
+71.1
2024-11-08
$76,178
+1.91
+1.65
+3.56
+74.6
2024-11-15
$87,650
-2.50
+0.76
-1.74
+72.9
2024-11-22
$99,232
+0.76
+0.52
+1.29
+74.2
2024-11-29
$95,649
+1.33
+1.50
+2.83
+77.0
2024-12-06
$98,153
+1.98
+1.32
+3.31
+80.3
2024-12-13
$100,127
+1.46
+1.44
+2.90
+83.2
2024-12-20
$97,825
+1.71
+2.48
+4.19
+87.4
2024-12-27
$95,116
+2.12
+1.38
+3.50
+90.9
2025
2025-01-03
$96,334
-2.00
+2.01
+0.01
+90.9
2025-01-10
$94,498
+2.16
+1.96
+4.12
+95.1
2025-01-17
$101,450
+0.74
+1.54
+2.29
+97.3
2025-01-24
$105,042
+0.90
+0.59
+1.49
+98.8
2025-01-31
$104,186
+1.01
+0.42
+1.43
+100.3
2025-02-07
$96,749
+1.24
+1.01
+2.25
+102.5
2025-02-14
$96,942
+1.57
-2.00
-0.43
+102.1
2025-02-21
$98,180
-5.69
-8.50
-14.19
+87.9
2025-02-28
$79,204
-5.64
-3.28
-8.91
+79.0
2025-03-07
$88,362
+0.60
-1.30
-0.70
+78.3
2025-03-14
$82,162
+1.16
+0.70
+1.86
+80.1
2025-03-21
$83,944
+1.74
+1.17
+2.91
+83.1
2025-03-28
$85,216
+0.87
+0.64
+1.50
+84.6
2025-04-04
$84,001
-0.04
+1.67
+1.63
+86.2
2025-04-11
$81,258
+0.49
+0.85
+1.35
+87.5
2025-04-18
$84,670
+1.36
+1.18
+2.54
+90.1
2025-04-25
$93,759
+0.98
+1.16
+2.14
+92.2
2025-05-02
$96,323
+1.10
+1.19
+2.29
+94.5
2025-05-09
$103,610
-0.19
+0.69
+0.51
+95.0
2025-05-16
$103,673
-2.40
-1.67
-4.07
+90.9
2025-05-23
$110,703
+0.76
+1.00
+1.76
+92.7
2025-05-30
$105,005
+0.57
+1.66
+2.23
+94.9
2025-06-06
$103,102
+1.30
+0.71
+2.01
+97.0
2025-06-13
$104,825
+1.26
+0.73
+1.99
+98.9
2025-06-20
$105,761
+0.37
+0.44
+0.81
+99.8
2025-06-27
$106,824
+0.43
+0.54
+0.97
+100.7
2025-07-04
$108,647
+0.96
+0.70
+1.66
+102.4
2025-07-11
$117,546
+1.26
-0.79
+0.47
+102.8
2025-07-18
$119,420
+0.72
+0.99
+1.71
+104.6
2025-07-25
$115,313
+0.41
+0.71
+1.13
+105.7
2025-08-01
$115,016
+0.12
+0.56
+0.68
+106.4
2025-08-08
$116,778
+1.49
-2.07
-0.59
+105.8
2025-08-15
$118,963
+0.38
+0.52
+0.90
+106.7
2025-08-22
$113,055
-0.13
+0.09
-0.04
+106.6
2025-08-29
$109,976
+0.26
+0.49
+0.76
+107.4
2025-09-05
$112,907
+0.57
+0.71
+1.28
+108.7
2025-09-12
$115,060
+0.99
-1.22
-0.22
+108.4
2025-09-19
$116,854
-6.15
-2.90
-9.05
+99.4
2025-09-26
$109,239
+0.95
+0.74
+1.70
+101.1
2025-10-03
$119,628
+1.06
-1.17
-0.10
+101.0
2025-10-10
$120,896
-1.40
-3.60
-5.00
+96.0
2025-10-17
$105,575
-1.19
+0.83
-0.35
+95.6
2025-10-24
$111,006
+0.74
+0.65
+1.39
+97.0
2025-10-31
$109,401
+1.10
+1.44
+2.54
+99.6
2025-11-07
$101,965
+0.76
+1.00
+1.76
+101.3
2025-11-14
$97,086
-3.80
-5.97
-9.77
+91.6
2025-11-21
$84,000
+1.00
+0.85
+1.85
+93.4
2025-11-28
$90,850
+1.74
+1.22
+2.96
+96.4
2025-12-05
$92,220
+0.60
-0.34
+0.26
+96.6
2025-12-12
$92,380
+1.02
-0.06
+0.96
+97.6
2025-12-19
$87,910
+1.04
+0.76
+1.80
+99.4
2025-12-26
$88,446
+0.81
+0.65
+1.46
+100.9
2026
2026-01-02
$88,827
+0.61
+0.73
+1.34
+102.2
2026-01-09
$90,706
-1.46
-3.38
-4.83
+97.4
2026-01-16
$95,626
+0.38
+0.59
+0.97
+98.3
2026-01-23
$89,478
+0.66
+0.99
+1.65
+100.0
2026-01-30
$82,755
+1.87
-0.06
+1.81
+101.8
2026-02-06
$64,810
+0.60
+1.12
+1.72
+103.5
2026-02-13
$66,187
+1.56
+0.92
+2.48
+106.0
2026-02-20
$67,800
-0.62
+0.84
+0.22
+106.2
2026-02-27
$67,651
+1.10
+1.22
+2.31
+108.5
2026-03-06
$71,026
+0.91
+0.95
+1.86
+110.4
2026-03-13
$71,587
+0.94
+0.49
+1.44
+111.8
2026-03-20
$70,822
+0.75
+0.44
+1.19
+113.0
2026-03-27
$68,507
-1.77
+1.35
-0.42
+112.6
2026-04-03
$67,015
+0.98
+0.78
+1.77
+114.4
2026-04-10
$71,464
+1.34
+0.94
+2.28
+116.7
2026-04-17
$75,044
+1.75
+0.69
+2.44
+119.1
2026-04-24
$77,623
+0.23
+0.57
+0.80
+119.9
2026-05-01
$77,104
+0.45
+0.46
+0.91
+120.8
Metric: % of notional (real ledgers). Best book (L3-S0): Total +295 ยท
2024 +207 / 2025 +70 / 2026 +18 ยท real Tardis 2026: +10 (call +5 / put +5).
Combined book โ CALL + PUT
CALL side โ by variant โ = best
variant
Weeks
Avg / week
Total
Win %
Ret/DD
2024
2025
2026
Tardis avg
Tardis n
L3-S0 โ
123
+1.03
+126
72%
16.0
+80
+40
+6
+0.27
17
L3-S0-itm1
123
+0.93
+115
70%
9.4
+89
+22
+3
+0.21
17
L2-S0-itm1
123
+0.95
+117
69%
10.4
+95
+20
+2
+0.09
17
L2-S0
123
+0.92
+113
69%
14.5
+73
+37
+3
-0.52
17
L2-S0-atm
123
+0.89
+110
69%
10.1
+92
+19
-2
-0.15
17
L3-S0-atm
123
+0.85
+104
66%
9.4
+86
+18
-0
-0.00
17
PUT side โ by variant
variant
Weeks
Avg / week
Total
Win %
Ret/DD
2024
2025
2026
Tardis avg
Tardis n
L3-S0 โ
123
+1.37
+169
68%
15.9
+126
+30
+12
+0.34
15
L3-S0-itm1
123
+1.32
+163
72%
11.9
+123
+28
+12
+0.34
15
L2-S0-itm1
123
+1.27
+156
71%
11.6
+119
+26
+12
+0.38
17
L2-S0
123
+1.29
+159
71%
13.6
+119
+27
+13
-0.05
17
L2-S0-atm
123
+1.28
+158
69%
9.9
+118
+27
+13
+0.51
17
L3-S0-atm
123
+1.31
+161
71%
10.2
+120
+28
+12
+0.23
15
Week-by-week โ best variant (L3-S0)
Week (Fri)
BTC spot
Call
Put
Combined
Cum
2024
2024-01-05
$43,774
+3.90
+7.03
+10.93
+10.9
2024-01-12
$46,002
+3.78
-4.88
-1.10
+9.8
2024-01-19
$41,286
+2.84
+0.09
+2.93
+12.8
2024-01-26
$39,970
-3.42
+1.71
-1.71
+11.1
2024-02-02
$43,098
-3.79
+2.12
-1.66
+9.4
2024-02-09
$46,222
-0.68
+4.47
+3.79
+13.2
2024-02-16
$51,767
+4.86
+3.34
+8.20
+21.4
2024-02-23
$50,928
-1.78
+6.22
+4.44
+25.8
2024-03-01
$61,454
+2.89
+11.04
+13.92
+39.7
2024-03-08
$67,288
+7.45
+6.39
+13.84
+53.6
2024-03-15
$68,439
+1.68
+2.54
+4.22
+57.8
2024-03-22
$66,191
+4.27
+9.46
+13.73
+71.5
2024-03-29
$69,819
+10.21
+7.28
+17.49
+89.0
2024-04-05
$66,930
+7.95
+12.25
+20.20
+109.2
2024-04-12
$70,778
+1.70
-1.84
-0.14
+109.1
2024-04-19
$64,552
+6.13
+5.70
+11.83
+120.9
2024-04-26
$64,273
+1.40
-3.06
-1.66
+119.3
2024-05-03
$59,180
-1.82
+1.99
+0.18
+119.4
2024-05-10
$63,070
-3.10
+3.37
+0.27
+119.7
2024-05-17
$66,382
+1.55
+1.35
+2.90
+122.6
2024-05-24
$67,172
+3.06
+3.12
+6.17
+128.8
2024-05-31
$68,183
+2.11
+4.47
+6.58
+135.3
2024-06-07
$71,118
+3.72
-0.51
+3.21
+138.6
2024-06-14
$66,916
+3.35
+2.24
+5.59
+144.1
2024-06-21
$64,209
+1.94
-0.52
+1.43
+145.6
2024-06-28
$61,344
+0.56
-2.88
-2.32
+143.3
2024-07-05
$54,401
-1.24
+0.13
-1.11
+142.1
2024-07-12
$57,097
-2.05
+4.54
+2.49
+144.6
2024-07-19
$63,715
+0.43
+3.80
+4.23
+148.9
2024-07-26
$66,913
+0.32
-2.08
-1.76
+147.1
2024-08-02
$64,158
-4.87
-3.90
-8.77
+138.3
2024-08-09
$60,875
+2.59
-2.08
+0.51
+138.8
2024-08-16
$58,457
-0.35
+2.71
+2.36
+141.2
2024-08-23
$61,075
+0.77
-1.30
-0.52
+140.7
2024-08-30
$59,268
+1.49
-1.50
-0.01
+140.7
2024-09-06
$55,792
-0.66
+3.31
+2.66
+143.3
2024-09-13
$58,118
-2.38
+2.93
+0.54
+143.9
2024-09-20
$63,528
+1.52
+3.60
+5.12
+149.0
2024-09-27
$65,473
+4.16
-0.27
+3.88
+152.9
2024-10-04
$61,436
+2.41
+2.11
+4.53
+157.4
2024-10-11
$60,674
-1.42
+5.05
+3.63
+161.0
2024-10-18
$67,980
+3.50
+3.36
+6.86
+167.9
2024-10-25
$67,547
+1.41
+2.44
+3.84
+171.7
2024-11-01
$69,283
-0.06
+5.09
+5.03
+176.8
2024-11-08
$76,178
-2.05
+1.18
-0.87
+175.9
2024-11-15
$87,650
+0.00
+5.48
+5.49
+181.4
2024-11-22
$99,232
+4.49
+1.37
+5.86
+187.2
2024-11-29
$95,649
+1.94
+1.20
+3.13
+190.4
2024-12-06
$98,153
+2.56
+4.11
+6.67
+197.0
2024-12-13
$100,127
+3.20
-1.51
+1.69
+198.7
2024-12-20
$97,825
+1.05
+0.40
+1.45
+200.2
2024-12-27
$95,116
+2.83
+3.75
+6.58
+206.8
2025
2025-01-03
$96,334
+2.85
-1.03
+1.82
+208.6
2025-01-10
$94,498
+1.94
+6.16
+8.10
+216.7
2025-01-17
$101,450
+0.23
-0.54
-0.30
+216.4
2025-01-24
$105,042
+0.55
+2.44
+2.99
+219.4
2025-01-31
$104,186
+1.66
-1.89
-0.23
+219.1
2025-02-07
$96,749
+3.31
+3.24
+6.55
+225.7
2025-02-14
$96,942
+1.70
+2.83
+4.53
+230.2
2025-02-21
$98,180
+3.59
-0.97
+2.62
+232.8
2025-02-28
$79,204
-3.04
-8.37
-11.41
+221.4
2025-03-07
$88,362
+2.60
-1.27
+1.32
+222.8
2025-03-14
$82,162
+1.44
+2.80
+4.25
+227.0
2025-03-21
$83,944
+1.32
+1.30
+2.62
+229.6
2025-03-28
$85,216
+1.72
+1.75
+3.47
+233.1
2025-04-04
$84,001
-4.16
+0.11
-4.05
+229.0
2025-04-11
$81,258
+1.28
+2.44
+3.72
+232.8
2025-04-18
$84,670
-1.43
+2.17
+0.75
+233.5
2025-04-25
$93,759
+2.14
+3.54
+5.69
+239.2
2025-05-02
$96,323
-0.96
+3.17
+2.21
+241.4
2025-05-09
$103,610
+0.96
+0.59
+1.55
+243.0
2025-05-16
$103,673
+0.19
+3.29
+3.48
+246.4
2025-05-23
$110,703
+1.74
+0.25
+1.99
+248.4
2025-05-30
$105,005
+2.26
+0.96
+3.22
+251.6
2025-06-06
$103,102
+0.86
-0.05
+0.81
+252.5
2025-06-13
$104,825
+1.89
+2.05
+3.94
+256.4
2025-06-20
$105,761
-1.79
+0.51
-1.29
+255.1
2025-06-27
$106,824
+1.15
+2.78
+3.92
+259.0
2025-07-04
$108,647
-0.75
+1.91
+1.16
+260.2
2025-07-11
$117,546
-0.58
-1.99
-2.57
+257.6
2025-07-18
$119,420
+1.82
+0.06
+1.88
+259.5
2025-07-25
$115,313
+1.41
+0.09
+1.51
+261.0
2025-08-01
$115,016
+0.58
+1.30
+1.88
+262.9
2025-08-08
$116,778
+0.59
-1.29
-0.70
+262.2
2025-08-15
$118,963
+2.83
-0.88
+1.95
+264.1
2025-08-22
$113,055
-0.97
-2.44
-3.41
+260.7
2025-08-29
$109,976
-0.02
+1.73
+1.72
+262.4
2025-09-05
$112,907
+0.63
+1.31
+1.94
+264.4
2025-09-12
$115,060
+1.63
+2.63
+4.25
+268.6
2025-09-19
$116,854
+2.56
-0.62
+1.94
+270.6
2025-09-26
$109,239
-1.12
+2.61
+1.49
+272.1
2025-10-03
$119,628
+0.33
+0.65
+0.98
+273.0
2025-10-10
$120,896
-0.23
-2.81
-3.04
+270.0
2025-10-17
$105,575
+1.15
+1.51
+2.65
+272.6
2025-10-24
$111,006
+1.32
-0.67
+0.65
+273.3
2025-10-31
$109,401
+2.21
-1.61
+0.60
+273.9
2025-11-07
$101,965
+0.51
-3.80
-3.29
+270.6
2025-11-14
$97,086
+2.54
+0.00
+2.54
+273.2
2025-11-21
$84,000
+0.59
+4.73
+5.32
+278.5
2025-11-28
$90,850
-1.85
-0.12
-1.96
+276.5
2025-12-05
$92,220
-1.53
-1.10
-2.63
+273.9
2025-12-12
$92,380
+1.31
-1.02
+0.29
+274.2
2025-12-19
$87,910
+1.40
+1.57
+2.97
+277.1
2025-12-26
$88,446
-0.13
+0.10
-0.04
+277.1
2026
2026-01-02
$88,827
+0.47
+1.30
+1.77
+278.9
2026-01-09
$90,706
-0.07
+2.62
+2.55
+281.4
2026-01-16
$95,626
+2.49
-0.79
+1.70
+283.1
2026-01-23
$89,478
+2.19
-0.75
+1.45
+284.6
2026-01-30
$82,755
+1.03
-4.01
-2.98
+281.6
2026-02-06
$64,810
+1.02
+2.05
+3.07
+284.7
2026-02-13
$66,187
+0.44
+1.56
+2.00
+286.7
2026-02-20
$67,800
+0.77
+1.70
+2.48
+289.1
2026-02-27
$67,651
-5.58
-0.92
-6.49
+282.6
2026-03-06
$71,026
-0.99
-0.28
-1.27
+281.4
2026-03-13
$71,587
+1.85
-0.36
+1.50
+282.9
2026-03-20
$70,822
+1.40
+0.63
+2.03
+284.9
2026-03-27
$68,507
+2.60
-0.12
+2.49
+287.4
2026-04-03
$67,015
-3.02
+2.47
-0.55
+286.8
2026-04-10
$71,464
-3.06
+1.47
-1.59
+285.2
2026-04-17
$75,044
-0.33
+1.57
+1.25
+286.5
2026-04-24
$77,623
+2.16
+1.34
+3.50
+290.0
2026-05-01
$77,104
+0.60
+1.04
+1.64
+291.6
2026-05-08
$79,636
+1.73
+1.57
+3.31
+294.9
Metric: R = % of long premium. Best book (long 2% OTM ยท short 2 strikes in): Total +87 ยท
2024 +57 / 2025 +24 / 2026 +6 ยท real Tardis 2026: +6 (call -0 / put +6).
Combined book โ CALL + PUT
CALL side โ by variant โ = best
variant
Weeks
Avg / week
Total
Win %
Ret/DD
2024
2025
2026
Tardis avg
Tardis n
long 2% OTM ยท short 2 strikes in โ
120
+0.36
+43
62%
17.1
+29
+12
+2
-0.00
12
long 2% OTM ยท short 3 strikes in
120
+0.35
+43
58%
8.3
+24
+16
+3
+0.17
12
long 3% OTM ยท short 2 strikes in
120
+0.23
+28
53%
5.6
+17
+10
+1
-0.05
12
long 3% OTM ยท short 3 strikes in
120
+0.32
+38
58%
6.9
+21
+16
+1
-0.15
12
PUT side โ by variant
variant
Weeks
Avg / week
Total
Win %
Ret/DD
2024
2025
2026
Tardis avg
Tardis n
long 2% OTM ยท short 2 strikes in โ
120
+0.36
+44
61%
10.1
+28
+12
+4
+0.44
13
long 2% OTM ยท short 3 strikes in
120
+0.43
+52
68%
10.3
+31
+16
+4
+0.37
13
long 3% OTM ยท short 2 strikes in
120
+0.14
+17
51%
1.5
+17
-1
+1
+0.63
12
long 3% OTM ยท short 3 strikes in
120
+0.27
+32
55%
3.7
+24
+5
+3
+0.66
13
Week-by-week โ best variant (long 2% OTM ยท short 2 strikes in)
Week (Fri)
BTC spot
Call
Put
Combined
Cum
2024
2024-01-05
$43,918
+1.81
+2.21
+4.02
+4.0
2024-01-12
$45,862
-0.41
-1.60
-2.01
+2.0
2024-01-19
$41,292
+1.12
-0.50
+0.61
+2.6
2024-01-26
$40,134
-2.04
-0.30
-2.34
+0.3
2024-02-02
$43,028
+0.71
+2.33
+3.04
+3.3
2024-02-09
$46,650
-0.94
+0.12
-0.81
+2.5
2024-02-16
$51,855
+2.42
+1.69
+4.12
+6.6
2024-02-23
$50,966
-0.13
+0.44
+0.30
+6.9
2024-03-01
$61,952
+0.49
+1.44
+1.92
+8.9
2024-03-08
$67,249
+2.64
+1.24
+3.88
+12.7
2024-03-15
$67,096
+2.49
+2.11
+4.60
+17.3
2024-03-22
$65,864
+1.47
+2.12
+3.59
+20.9
2024-03-29
$69,974
+2.06
+1.85
+3.92
+24.8
2024-04-05
$67,158
+2.46
+1.74
+4.20
+29.0
2024-04-12
$70,790
-0.32
-0.73
-1.06
+28.0
2024-04-19
$64,628
+2.14
+1.96
+4.10
+32.1
2024-04-26
$64,412
-0.25
-0.48
-0.73
+31.4
2024-05-03
$59,218
-1.02
-0.29
-1.32
+30.0
2024-05-10
$63,050
-0.45
+1.21
+0.75
+30.8
2024-05-17
$66,140
+0.47
+0.31
+0.78
+31.6
2024-05-24
$67,205
+2.00
+0.41
+2.41
+34.0
2024-05-31
$68,138
+0.45
+0.83
+1.28
+35.3
2024-06-07
$71,130
-0.52
-0.69
-1.21
+34.1
2024-06-14
$67,144
+0.10
+0.49
+0.59
+34.7
2024-06-21
$63,638
+0.52
-0.57
-0.05
+34.6
2024-06-28
$61,482
+0.41
-0.44
-0.04
+34.6
2024-07-05
$54,086
-1.44
-0.41
-1.85
+32.7
2024-07-12
$57,322
-1.07
-0.26
-1.34
+31.4
2024-07-19
$63,822
+0.63
+0.54
+1.18
+32.6
2024-07-26
$67,106
+0.87
+0.05
+0.91
+33.5
2024-08-02
$64,594
-0.58
-1.56
-2.14
+31.3
2024-08-09
$61,094
+0.74
+0.25
+0.99
+32.3
2024-08-16
$58,362
+0.61
+0.47
+1.09
+33.4
2024-08-23
$61,314
+0.22
-0.91
-0.69
+32.7
2024-08-30
$59,448
+0.05
+0.16
+0.21
+32.9
2024-09-06
$55,781
-0.00
+0.88
+0.88
+33.8
2024-09-13
$57,963
-0.18
-0.03
-0.20
+33.6
2024-09-20
$63,311
+0.99
+1.71
+2.70
+36.3
2024-09-27
$65,730
+0.10
-0.07
+0.03
+36.3
2024-10-04
$61,450
+2.11
+0.85
+2.96
+39.3
2024-10-11
$60,669
-0.84
-0.31
-1.15
+38.2
2024-10-18
$67,927
+1.30
+1.12
+2.42
+40.6
2024-10-25
$67,670
+0.12
+0.91
+1.03
+41.6
2024-11-01
$69,375
+0.68
+1.99
+2.66
+44.3
2024-11-08
$75,822
-0.64
-0.35
-0.99
+43.3
2024-11-15
$88,101
-0.06
-0.13
-0.19
+43.1
2024-11-22
$98,880
+0.67
+0.76
+1.43
+44.5
2024-11-29
$96,000
+1.09
+1.22
+2.31
+46.8
2024-12-06
$98,342
+1.51
+1.29
+2.80
+49.6
2024-12-13
$100,273
+1.71
-0.18
+1.53
+51.2
2024-12-20
$95,493
+2.00
+1.25
+3.25
+54.4
2024-12-27
$95,729
+0.94
+1.92
+2.86
+57.3
2025
2025-01-03
$96,144
+1.16
+0.29
+1.45
+58.7
2025-01-10
$94,670
+1.03
+1.56
+2.59
+61.3
2025-01-17
$102,140
+1.74
+0.86
+2.60
+63.9
2025-01-24
$105,492
+0.10
+1.36
+1.47
+65.4
2025-01-31
$104,012
-0.62
-0.58
-1.20
+64.2
2025-02-07
$97,032
+1.18
+1.48
+2.66
+66.8
2025-02-14
$96,889
+0.73
+1.37
+2.10
+68.9
2025-02-21
$98,209
-0.61
-0.39
-1.00
+67.9
2025-02-28
$78,980
-1.15
-0.53
-1.68
+66.3
2025-03-07
$88,362
-0.57
-0.73
-1.29
+65.0
2025-03-14
$82,592
+1.62
+0.17
+1.79
+66.8
2025-03-21
$84,018
+0.37
-0.04
+0.33
+67.1
2025-03-28
$85,220
+0.00
+1.20
+1.20
+68.3
2025-04-04
$84,418
-0.31
-0.01
-0.33
+68.0
2025-04-11
$81,636
-0.06
-0.13
-0.19
+67.8
2025-04-18
$84,656
-0.27
-0.15
-0.42
+67.4
2025-04-25
$93,660
+1.55
+0.22
+1.77
+69.1
2025-05-02
$96,596
-0.50
+0.97
+0.47
+69.6
2025-05-09
$102,948
+1.08
+0.40
+1.49
+71.1
2025-05-16
$103,368
+0.16
+0.09
+0.24
+71.3
2025-05-23
$110,880
-0.45
+0.72
+0.26
+71.6
2025-05-30
$105,131
+0.23
+0.72
+0.95
+72.5
2025-06-06
$103,452
+0.89
-0.52
+0.37
+72.9
2025-06-13
$104,670
+1.26
+0.27
+1.53
+74.4
2025-06-20
$105,901
+0.10
+0.29
+0.39
+74.8
2025-06-27
$106,955
+0.91
+0.11
+1.02
+75.8
2025-07-04
$108,706
-0.52
+1.00
+0.48
+76.3
2025-07-11
$117,970
+0.43
+0.62
+1.04
+77.4
2025-07-18
$118,692
+0.18
-0.05
+0.13
+77.5
2025-07-25
$115,234
+0.56
-0.69
-0.13
+77.4
2025-08-01
$114,575
-0.34
+1.12
+0.78
+78.1
2025-08-08
$116,576
-0.01
-0.28
-0.29
+77.9
2025-08-15
$118,867
-0.61
-0.48
-1.10
+76.8
2025-08-22
$112,946
+0.50
-0.03
+0.47
+77.2
2025-08-29
$109,565
+0.23
+0.43
+0.67
+77.9
2025-09-05
$112,589
-0.35
+1.30
+0.95
+78.8
2025-09-12
$115,011
+1.24
+0.43
+1.68
+80.5
2025-09-19
$116,863
-0.71
-0.09
-0.80
+79.7
2025-09-26
$109,514
-0.94
-0.22
-1.17
+78.5
2025-10-03
$120,021
+0.71
-0.54
+0.17
+78.7
2025-10-10
$121,566
-0.77
-1.40
-2.18
+76.5
2025-10-17
$104,829
+0.14
-0.37
-0.23
+76.3
2025-10-24
$111,062
+1.01
-0.07
+0.94
+77.2
2025-10-31
$110,020
-0.06
-0.71
-0.77
+76.5
2025-11-07
$101,462
+0.79
-0.91
-0.12
+76.4
2025-11-14
$97,329
-0.46
+0.24
-0.22
+76.1
2025-11-21
$83,608
-0.12
-0.08
-0.20
+75.9
2025-11-28
$91,637
+0.59
+0.50
+1.09
+77.0
2025-12-05
$92,072
+0.16
+0.85
+1.01
+78.0
2025-12-12
$92,304
-0.64
-0.54
-1.18
+76.9
2025-12-19
$88,054
+0.84
+0.90
+1.73
+78.6
2025-12-26
$88,699
+0.63
+1.80
+2.43
+81.0
2026
2026-01-02
$89,139
+0.76
-0.36
+0.40
+81.4
2026-01-09
$89,994
+0.23
-0.19
+0.04
+81.5
2026-01-16
$95,629
-0.56
-0.74
-1.30
+80.2
2026-01-23
$89,166
+0.37
+1.27
+1.65
+81.8
2026-01-30
$82,624
-0.27
-1.40
-1.67
+80.1
2026-02-06
$64,860
-0.23
+0.03
-0.19
+79.9
2026-02-13
$66,670
+0.70
+0.06
+0.77
+80.7
2026-02-20
$67,852
+0.66
+0.66
+1.32
+82.0
2026-02-27
$67,900
-0.77
+0.39
-0.38
+81.7
2026-03-06
$70,756
-0.24
+0.95
+0.71
+82.4
2026-03-13
$71,795
+0.67
+0.61
+1.27
+83.6
2026-03-20
$71,011
+0.78
+0.57
+1.35
+85.0
2026-03-27
$67,874
+0.63
+0.64
+1.27
+86.3
2026-04-03
$66,941
-0.54
+0.30
-0.24
+86.0
2026-04-10
$71,581
-0.51
+0.35
-0.16
+85.9
2026-04-17
$75,739
+0.07
+0.60
+0.67
+86.5
Metric: R = % of long premium. Best book (short 0% OTM): Total +111 ยท
2024 +87 / 2025 +24 / 2026 +0 ยท real Tardis 2026: -1 (call -1 / put +1).
Combined book โ CALL + PUT
CALL side โ by variant โ = best
variant
Weeks
Avg / week
Total
Win %
Ret/DD
2024
2025
2026
Tardis avg
Tardis n
short 0% OTM โ
120
+0.45
+54
70%
12.2
+43
+11
-0
-0.09
13
short 1% OTM
120
+0.33
+40
60%
6.2
+37
+4
-2
-0.14
13
short 2% OTM
120
+0.24
+29
42%
2.9
+34
-2
-3
-0.17
13
short 3% OTM
120
+0.18
+22
37%
1.7
+29
-4
-3
-0.17
13
PUT side โ by variant
variant
Weeks
Avg / week
Total
Win %
Ret/DD
2024
2025
2026
Tardis avg
Tardis n
short 0% OTM โ
120
+0.48
+58
76%
15.1
+45
+12
+1
+0.04
13
short 1% OTM
120
+0.36
+43
68%
10.3
+34
+7
+2
+0.24
13
short 2% OTM
120
+0.18
+22
46%
2.1
+23
-3
+1
+0.18
13
short 3% OTM
120
+0.13
+16
39%
1.3
+16
-2
+2
+0.21
13
Week-by-week โ best variant (short 0% OTM)
Week (Fri)
BTC spot
Call
Put
Combined
Cum
2024
2024-01-05
$43,918
+1.22
+1.71
+2.93
+2.9
2024-01-12
$45,862
+0.77
+1.44
+2.21
+5.1
2024-01-19
$41,292
+0.42
+0.29
+0.70
+5.8
2024-01-26
$40,134
+0.49
+0.55
+1.04
+6.9
2024-02-02
$43,028
+0.57
+0.78
+1.35
+8.2
2024-02-09
$46,650
+2.75
+1.60
+4.35
+12.6
2024-02-16
$51,855
+1.24
+1.29
+2.53
+15.1
2024-02-23
$50,966
+1.97
+1.99
+3.96
+19.1
2024-03-01
$61,952
+3.18
+3.38
+6.56
+25.6
2024-03-08
$67,249
+1.33
+1.16
+2.50
+28.1
2024-03-15
$67,096
+0.07
+0.38
+0.45
+28.6
2024-03-22
$65,864
+2.14
+2.49
+4.63
+33.2
2024-03-29
$69,974
+2.45
+2.71
+5.16
+38.4
2024-04-05
$67,158
+2.19
+2.36
+4.55
+42.9
2024-04-12
$70,790
+0.42
+0.67
+1.09
+44.0
2024-04-19
$64,628
+1.18
+0.82
+2.00
+46.0
2024-04-26
$64,412
+0.38
+0.47
+0.85
+46.9
2024-05-03
$59,218
-0.21
-0.15
-0.36
+46.5
2024-05-10
$63,050
+0.03
-0.03
-0.01
+46.5
2024-05-17
$66,140
-0.41
+0.06
-0.35
+46.1
2024-05-24
$67,205
+0.82
+1.00
+1.82
+48.0
2024-05-31
$68,138
+1.21
+1.10
+2.30
+50.3
2024-06-07
$71,130
+1.23
+1.32
+2.55
+52.8
2024-06-14
$67,144
+1.06
+1.30
+2.36
+55.2
2024-06-21
$63,638
+0.51
+0.32
+0.83
+56.0
2024-06-28
$61,482
-0.00
+0.28
+0.28
+56.3
2024-07-05
$54,086
+0.64
+0.63
+1.27
+57.6
2024-07-12
$57,322
+1.43
+1.31
+2.74
+60.3
2024-07-19
$63,822
+1.10
+1.26
+2.36
+62.7
2024-07-26
$67,106
-0.08
+0.15
+0.07
+62.7
2024-08-02
$64,594
-3.50
-3.21
-6.71
+56.0
2024-08-09
$61,094
+0.19
+0.03
+0.22
+56.2
2024-08-16
$58,362
+0.43
+0.20
+0.63
+56.9
2024-08-23
$61,314
-0.41
-0.19
-0.60
+56.3
2024-08-30
$59,448
+1.05
+1.51
+2.56
+58.8
2024-09-06
$55,781
+0.26
+0.34
+0.61
+59.4
2024-09-13
$57,963
+0.86
+0.78
+1.64
+61.1
2024-09-20
$63,311
+1.36
+1.38
+2.74
+63.8
2024-09-27
$65,730
+0.92
+1.38
+2.29
+66.1
2024-10-04
$61,450
+0.41
+0.59
+1.01
+67.1
2024-10-11
$60,669
+2.63
+1.75
+4.38
+71.5
2024-10-18
$67,927
+0.76
+0.69
+1.45
+72.9
2024-10-25
$67,670
+0.15
+0.17
+0.32
+73.3
2024-11-01
$69,375
+1.93
+1.55
+3.48
+76.7
2024-11-08
$75,822
+0.36
+0.14
+0.50
+77.3
2024-11-15
$88,101
+2.37
+1.95
+4.32
+81.6
2024-11-22
$98,880
+1.20
+1.17
+2.37
+83.9
2024-11-29
$96,000
-0.24
-0.40
-0.64
+83.3
2024-12-06
$98,342
+1.10
+1.21
+2.31
+85.6
2024-12-13
$100,273
-0.04
-0.18
-0.23
+85.4
2024-12-20
$95,493
-0.14
+0.12
-0.02
+85.4
2024-12-27
$95,729
+0.94
+1.08
+2.02
+87.4
2025
2025-01-03
$96,144
-0.43
-0.66
-1.08
+86.3
2025-01-10
$94,670
+1.70
+1.60
+3.30
+89.6
2025-01-17
$102,140
-0.26
-0.39
-0.64
+89.0
2025-01-24
$105,492
-0.36
-0.43
-0.79
+88.2
2025-01-31
$104,012
+0.35
+0.52
+0.87
+89.0
2025-02-07
$97,032
+0.55
+0.38
+0.92
+90.0
2025-02-14
$96,889
+0.72
+0.79
+1.51
+91.5
2025-02-21
$98,209
+1.26
+1.70
+2.96
+94.4
2025-02-28
$78,980
-2.22
-2.58
-4.80
+89.6
2025-03-07
$88,362
+1.08
+1.28
+2.36
+92.0
2025-03-14
$82,592
+0.14
+0.23
+0.38
+92.4
2025-03-21
$84,018
-0.09
+0.19
+0.10
+92.5
2025-03-28
$85,220
+0.12
+0.17
+0.28
+92.8
2025-04-04
$84,418
-1.52
-1.41
-2.92
+89.8
2025-04-11
$81,636
+1.03
+0.69
+1.72
+91.5
2025-04-18
$84,656
+0.68
+0.44
+1.12
+92.7
2025-04-25
$93,660
+1.72
+1.30
+3.02
+95.7
2025-05-02
$96,596
+0.38
+0.58
+0.96
+96.6
2025-05-09
$102,948
+0.34
+0.26
+0.60
+97.2
2025-05-16
$103,368
+1.54
+1.27
+2.80
+100.0
2025-05-23
$110,880
+0.39
+0.74
+1.13
+101.2
2025-05-30
$105,131
+0.60
+0.56
+1.17
+102.3
2025-06-06
$103,452
-0.43
-0.70
-1.12
+101.2
2025-06-13
$104,670
+0.44
+0.47
+0.91
+102.1
2025-06-20
$105,901
-0.82
-0.59
-1.41
+100.7
2025-06-27
$106,955
+0.79
+1.00
+1.79
+102.5
2025-07-04
$108,706
+0.84
+0.73
+1.57
+104.1
2025-07-11
$117,970
-1.31
-1.43
-2.74
+101.3
2025-07-18
$118,692
+0.82
+0.84
+1.65
+103.0
2025-07-25
$115,234
-0.29
-0.39
-0.69
+102.3
2025-08-01
$114,575
+0.42
+0.69
+1.10
+103.4
2025-08-08
$116,576
-1.04
-0.98
-2.02
+101.4
2025-08-15
$118,867
+0.84
+1.37
+2.21
+103.6
2025-08-22
$112,946
-1.31
-1.24
-2.55
+101.0
2025-08-29
$109,565
+0.98
+0.75
+1.73
+102.8
2025-09-05
$112,589
+0.44
+0.31
+0.75
+103.5
2025-09-12
$115,011
+0.88
+0.82
+1.70
+105.2
2025-09-19
$116,863
+0.85
+1.49
+2.34
+107.6
2025-09-26
$109,514
+1.64
+1.14
+2.78
+110.3
2025-10-03
$120,021
-0.08
+0.12
+0.04
+110.4
2025-10-10
$121,566
-0.45
-0.24
-0.69
+109.7
2025-10-17
$104,829
+0.22
+0.11
+0.34
+110.0
2025-10-24
$111,062
-0.04
+0.07
+0.03
+110.1
2025-10-31
$110,020
+0.59
+0.66
+1.25
+111.3
2025-11-07
$101,462
-0.73
-0.54
-1.27
+110.0
2025-11-14
$97,329
+1.01
+1.08
+2.08
+112.1
2025-11-21
$83,608
+1.86
+1.26
+3.12
+115.2
2025-11-28
$91,637
-1.61
-1.23
-2.84
+112.4
2025-12-05
$92,072
-1.55
-1.33
-2.89
+109.5
2025-12-12
$92,304
+0.63
+0.75
+1.39
+110.9
2025-12-19
$88,054
+0.41
+0.27
+0.68
+111.6
2025-12-26
$88,699
-0.40
-0.26
-0.66
+110.9
2026
2026-01-02
$89,139
-0.10
-0.09
-0.19
+110.7
2026-01-09
$89,994
+1.10
+0.98
+2.08
+112.8
2026-01-16
$95,629
+0.79
+1.29
+2.08
+114.9
2026-01-23
$89,166
+0.77
+0.81
+1.58
+116.5
2026-01-30
$82,624
+0.25
+0.52
+0.77
+117.2
2026-02-06
$64,860
-0.16
+0.10
-0.06
+117.2
2026-02-13
$66,670
-0.42
-0.12
-0.54
+116.6
2026-02-20
$67,852
-0.94
-0.89
-1.83
+114.8
2026-02-27
$67,900
-1.57
-1.58
-3.15
+111.7
2026-03-06
$70,756
-0.56
-0.33
-0.90
+110.8
2026-03-13
$71,795
-0.57
-0.79
-1.36
+109.4
2026-03-20
$71,011
+0.14
+0.42
+0.55
+110.0
2026-03-27
$67,874
-0.30
-0.53
-0.83
+109.1
2026-04-03
$66,941
+0.93
+0.88
+1.81
+110.9
2026-04-10
$71,581
+0.08
+0.03
+0.11
+111.0
2026-04-17
$75,739
+0.11
+0.11
+0.22
+111.3
Source: run_calendar_detail.py + real ledgers diagonal_cal2w/v2.
PnL = โlong_debit + long_intrinsic + ฮฃ(short_credit โ short_intrinsic); intrinsics from clean OHLC bars; causal.
Real tabs use % of notional (pnl/spot0); model tabs use % of long premium (pnl/long_debit).
